If you haven’t already done so, I recommend you read our guide on statistics.
It’s a guide I prepared some time ago to help you understand the world of numbers in football.
If, on the other hand, you’ve already read it and want to take immediate action, I suggest you click on the most authoritative and comprehensive free sports statistics site in Italy.
Once you have landed on this site, it will be easy for you to find the teams that tend to draw the most, or are already drawing often in the course of the championship.
Here is what you will need to do:
- Click on ‘Statistics’.
- Choose the league you want to analyse (e.g. Serie A)
- In the table that appears at the top of the table, click on “Sort by: draws” (see red arrow in the image below).
You will then see the ranking of the Serie A teams, sorted from the one that draws the most, to the one that draws the least.
Take a closer look at the image.
If you look at column N (the one indicating draws), you will notice that Parma, Juve and Verona are the teams in Serie A that have drawn most often so far.
In order to find out which of the three teams is most likely to draw in the next round, I suggest you look at the number of games played (shown in the table labeled G) and compare it to the number of games drawn.
As you can see both Parma and Verona have drawn 5 out of 11 games, while Juve have drawn 5 out of 10, which means one out of every two games played.
It should be clear to you that Juve tend to draw the most and that’s the one you should be betting on for the next ties. Next Sunday they play Atalanta and a draw might well be in order…
Other types of draw bets
Betting on draws is not just about betting on the final result of a match.
If you’re just starting out, I recommend starting with a simple X Final sign.
If, on the other hand, you are a more experienced Warrior who would like to try out other types of bets, here are the other variants of betting on draws which will allow you to bet at higher or lower odds than the traditional X final sign.
Double Chance (Dc) 1x – X2 (Lower Odds Than The Final X)
If you’re not sure whether a match will end in a draw, you can consider betting on a double chance, often referred to as a ‘double chance’ or ‘DC’ by bookmakers.
If, for example, a clear favourite is playing, but is perhaps not in top form, you can bet on them winning and drawing, so that you are covered for two results.
If the favourite is playing at home you will go for 1X DC, if the favourite is playing on the road you will go for X2 DC.
“That’s all well and good, but Luca’s odds are so low, how can I make a decent profit?
In this case, I recommend playing in multiples, or following the match live and betting only when the odds of the DC have increased (the odds of the DC increase, for example, if the favourite has lost).
The X-Sign In The Partial/Final (Higher Odds Than The Final X)
This type of bet requires a lot more analysis because you have to guess how the first half of a match will end (Half Time) and what the final result of the match will be (Final).
The partial/final scores that include a draw are therefore:
- 1/X: first half won by the home team and draw at the end of the match (Ex: 1-0 PT; 1-1 FT);
- X/1: first half ends in a draw and then the home team wins at the end of the match (Ex: 1-1 PT; 3-1 FT);
- X/X: tie at the end of the first half and the end of the match (Ex: 0-0 PT; 2-2 FT);
- 2/X: first half won by the visiting team and at the end of the match the result is a draw (Ex: 0-2 PT; 2-2 FT);
- X/2: first half tied and the away team wins at the end of the match (Ex: 1-1 PT; 1-4 FT);
- (PT indicates the result at the end of the first half, FT indicates the final result of the match).
I know, the partial/final odds are very high and… greedy!